MAXCYTE, INC. (MXCT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 total revenue was $8.7M, down 45% YoY on lapping 2023 approval milestones, while core revenue rose 20% YoY to $8.6M; GAAP gross margin was 74% and adjusted gross margin was 84% .
- Management initiated 2025 guidance: core revenue growth of 8%–15% (includes SeQure Dx) and ~$5M SPL program-related revenue; year-end 2025 cash expected at ~$160M .
- Operating discipline improved: Q4 OpEx fell to $19.3M from $22.2M YoY; cash/investments ended 2024 at $190.3M with no debt, positioning for modest burn in 2025 .
- Strategic progress: six SPLs signed in 2024 (28 active year-end; 18 active clinical programs; 1 commercial) and SeQure Dx acquisition expands into gene-editing safety analytics with revenue contribution of at least ~$2M in 2025 per management .
- Narrative catalysts: return to core growth, SPL pipeline health, early CASGEVY royalties (small in 2H24), and integration of SeQure Dx; near-term investor focus likely on core growth durability vs instrument softness and visibility on 2025 SPL milestones .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Core revenue growth: Q4 core revenue +20% YoY to $8.6M; PAs surged 93% YoY in Q4, evidencing healthy consumable pull-through and clinical activity .
- SPL portfolio momentum: 28 active SPLs at 2024-end with 18 active clinical programs; management pegs >$220M in pre-commercial milestone potential across active clinical programs (incl. ~$10M already received) .
- Operational discipline: Q4 OpEx reduced to $19.3M from $22.2M YoY; year-end cash/investments $190.3M and no debt support ongoing investments with modest burn .
- Management quote: “We signed a record six SPLs in 2024… and implemented a more disciplined capital and operational approach… underpinning our commitment to long-term value creation” — CEO Maher Masoud .
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What Went Wrong
- Headline revenue decline: Q4 total revenue down 45% YoY to $8.7M, driven by lapping one-time approval milestones in Q4 2023; SPL program-related revenue fell to ~$0.1M vs $8.5M in Q4 2023 .
- Margin compression: Q4 GAAP gross margin fell to 74% (from 90% YoY), partly due to mix (minimal SPL revenue) and inventory provisions; adjusted GM was 84% .
- Instruments soft: Q4 instrument revenue declined 30% YoY to $1.6M on continued customer caution around capex; management expects gradual improvement but remains conservative .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend – headline metrics (GAAP unless noted)
YoY comparison – Q4
Revenue mix (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
Key performance indicators
Non-GAAP adjustments: Adjusted gross margin excludes SPL program-related revenue and inventory reserves; Q4 adjusted GM was 84% vs GAAP 74% (similar methodology applied for full-year) .
Guidance Changes
Notes: Management also indicated SeQure Dx revenue of at least ~$2M is embedded in 2025 core growth, without separate quarterly breakdown .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on 2024 execution and positioning: “We evaluated and implemented new strategic initiatives… increasing capital and operational efficiency… enabled us to grow core revenue in a difficult environment and position us well for 2025” .
- On SPL optionality: “Of the 18 active clinical programs… total pre-commercial milestone potential is greater than $220 million, including about $10 million… already received” .
- On CASGEVY ramp: Vertex disclosed ~50 patients with completed cell collection; management sees global access and Medicaid models as positive for adoption and future therapies .
- CFO on margins and costs: “We’re going to continue to enjoy high margins in the low to mid-80s… even with SeQure… Total operating expenses… $19.3M vs $22.2M… Ended 2024 with $190.3M and no debt” .
- 2025 outlook tone: “Core revenue growth of 8% to 15%… SPL program-related revenue… ~$5M… expect to end 2025 with approximately $160 million in cash” .
Q&A Highlights
- Core growth composition and instruments: Management embeds conservative assumptions; instruments declined in 2024 but see opportunities to build back; PA pull-through modeled on rolling run-rate across installed base .
- SeQure Dx revenue and integration: At least ~$2M revenue in 2025; fee-for-service model today with potential subscription elements; sales/marketing integrated day-1; incremental OpEx “immaterial” with scalability upside .
- Margins with SeQure: Expect adjusted gross margins to remain low-to-mid 80s near term .
- Macro cadence and lumpiness: Guidance assumes “yellow light” macro; licenses stable, PAs modeled on pull-through, instruments most “lumpy”; minimal NIH grant exposure .
- SPL trajectory: Still signing at pre-IND stage; on track for 3–5 new SPLs per year (already signed TG Therapeutics in early 2025) .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for revenue, EPS, and EBITDA for Q4 2024 and prior quarters; however, the data could not be accessed due to request limits at this time. As a result, we cannot provide a definitive beat/miss analysis vs. Street for Q4 2024, Q3 2024, or Q2 2024 in this recap.
- Given the company’s mix shift and lumpy SPL milestones, we note analysts have increasingly focused on core revenue and PA trends; nonetheless, please refer to your internal S&P Global access for exact consensus figures to finalize beat/miss assessments.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core engine is growing despite SPL lumpiness: Q4 core +20% YoY with strong PA pull-through, while instruments remain a watch item; adjusted GM steady ~mid-80s .
- SPL portfolio depth is building future optionality: 18 active clinical programs and >$220M in pre-commercial milestone potential; early commercial royalties emerging from CASGEVY (small in 2H24) .
- 2025 setup is conservative but constructive: Core +8%–15% (incl. SeQure), ~$5M SPL, and ~$160M year-end cash; plan assumes no macro improvement, offering upside if funding conditions ease .
- Strategic adjacency (SeQure Dx) broadens TAM and earlier engagement in CGT development, with integrated go-to-market and limited added OpEx; near-term revenue contribution at least ~$2M .
- Watch catalysts: Additional SPL signings (target 3–5 in 2025), instrument order recovery, visibility on SPL milestone timing, and CASGEVY uptake metrics from Vertex.
- Risk checks: Continued instrument softness or delayed SPL milestones could pressure reported revenue/margins; macro funding setbacks remain an exogenous variable embedded in the low end of guidance .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Balance sheet snapshot: Total cash, cash equivalents and investments $190.3M at 12/31/24; total assets $239.5M; total liabilities $33.2M; equity $206.3M .
- Q4 P&L details: Revenue $8.693M; COGS $2.281M; Gross profit $6.412M; OpEx $19.313M; Net loss $10.597M; EPS $(0.10) .
- FY 2024 totals: Revenue $38.627M (Core $32.512M; SPL $6.115M); GAAP GM 82%; adjusted GM 84%; OpEx $82.724M; Net loss $41.055M; EBITDA $(46.882)M; YE cash $190.3M .
Citations: Q4 2024 8-K and press release ; Q4 2024 earnings call transcript -; Q3 2024 press release -; Q2 2024 press release -; Dec 9, 2024 press release -; Jan 13, 2025 preliminary update -; Jan 30, 2025 SeQure Dx acquisition -.