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MI

MAXCYTE, INC. (MXCT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 total revenue was $8.7M, down 45% YoY on lapping 2023 approval milestones, while core revenue rose 20% YoY to $8.6M; GAAP gross margin was 74% and adjusted gross margin was 84% .
  • Management initiated 2025 guidance: core revenue growth of 8%–15% (includes SeQure Dx) and ~$5M SPL program-related revenue; year-end 2025 cash expected at ~$160M .
  • Operating discipline improved: Q4 OpEx fell to $19.3M from $22.2M YoY; cash/investments ended 2024 at $190.3M with no debt, positioning for modest burn in 2025 .
  • Strategic progress: six SPLs signed in 2024 (28 active year-end; 18 active clinical programs; 1 commercial) and SeQure Dx acquisition expands into gene-editing safety analytics with revenue contribution of at least ~$2M in 2025 per management .
  • Narrative catalysts: return to core growth, SPL pipeline health, early CASGEVY royalties (small in 2H24), and integration of SeQure Dx; near-term investor focus likely on core growth durability vs instrument softness and visibility on 2025 SPL milestones .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Core revenue growth: Q4 core revenue +20% YoY to $8.6M; PAs surged 93% YoY in Q4, evidencing healthy consumable pull-through and clinical activity .
    • SPL portfolio momentum: 28 active SPLs at 2024-end with 18 active clinical programs; management pegs >$220M in pre-commercial milestone potential across active clinical programs (incl. ~$10M already received) .
    • Operational discipline: Q4 OpEx reduced to $19.3M from $22.2M YoY; year-end cash/investments $190.3M and no debt support ongoing investments with modest burn .
    • Management quote: “We signed a record six SPLs in 2024… and implemented a more disciplined capital and operational approach… underpinning our commitment to long-term value creation” — CEO Maher Masoud .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Headline revenue decline: Q4 total revenue down 45% YoY to $8.7M, driven by lapping one-time approval milestones in Q4 2023; SPL program-related revenue fell to ~$0.1M vs $8.5M in Q4 2023 .
    • Margin compression: Q4 GAAP gross margin fell to 74% (from 90% YoY), partly due to mix (minimal SPL revenue) and inventory provisions; adjusted GM was 84% .
    • Instruments soft: Q4 instrument revenue declined 30% YoY to $1.6M on continued customer caution around capex; management expects gradual improvement but remains conservative .

Financial Results

Quarterly trend – headline metrics (GAAP unless noted)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$10.429 $8.164 $8.693
Core Revenue ($M)$7.575 $8.140 $8.610
SPL Program-Related Revenue ($M)$2.854 ~$0.024 $0.083
GAAP Gross Margin (%)86% 76% 74%
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)85% 84%
Operating Expenses ($M)$20.909 $20.289 $19.313
Net Loss ($M)$(9.375) $(11.557) $(10.597)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.09) $(0.11) $(0.10)

YoY comparison – Q4

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$15.666 $8.693
Core Revenue ($M)$7.162 $8.610
SPL Program-Related Revenue ($M)$8.504 $0.083
GAAP Gross Margin (%)90% 74%
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)86% 84%
Operating Expenses ($M)$22.188 $19.313
Net Loss ($M)$(5.277) $(10.597)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.05) $(0.10)

Revenue mix (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)

Component ($000s)Q4 2023Q4 2024
Instrument$2,330 $1,629
PAs & Consumables$2,163 $4,169
Licenses$2,406 $2,554
Other$263 $258
Total Core Revenue$7,162 $8,610
SPL Program-Related$8,504 $83
Total Revenue$15,666 $8,693

Key performance indicators

KPI202220232024
Installed base of instruments (sold/licensed)616 683 760
Core revenue from SPL clients (% of Core)42% 48% 55%
Active SPLs18 23 28
Active licensed clinical programs16 16 18
Active commercial programs1 1

Non-GAAP adjustments: Adjusted gross margin excludes SPL program-related revenue and inventory reserves; Q4 adjusted GM was 84% vs GAAP 74% (similar methodology applied for full-year) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Core Revenue GrowthFY 2024Flat to +5% (Aug 6, 2024) +6% to +8% (Dec 9, 2024) Raised
SPL Program-Related RevenueFY 2024~$6M (Aug 6, 2024) ~$6M (Dec 9, 2024) Maintained
Ending CashFY 2024≥$180M (Aug 6, 2024) ~$185M (Nov 6, 2024) Raised
Core Revenue GrowthFY 2025+8% to +15% (incl. SeQure Dx) Initial
SPL Program-Related RevenueFY 2025~$5M Initial
Ending CashFY 2025~$160M Initial

Notes: Management also indicated SeQure Dx revenue of at least ~$2M is embedded in 2025 core growth, without separate quarterly breakdown .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Core revenue trajectory & mixQ2: Core -9% YoY on instrument/PAs softness; SPL $2.9M strengthened mix . Q3: Core +23% YoY; minimal SPL; PAs +54% YoY .Q4: Core +20% YoY; PAs +93% YoY; instruments -30% YoY; SPL $0.1M .Core growth re-accelerating with strong PA pull-through; instrument capex still soft.
SPL pipeline & monetization28–29 SPLs by mid/late-2024; minimal SPL in Q3; FY24 SPL guide ~$6M .28 active SPLs; 18 clinical; >$220M in pre-commercial milestone potential; small CASGEVY royalty in 2H24 .Growing clinical depth; monetization lumpy, but LT optionality improving.
Gross margin profileQ2 GM 86% ; Q3 GM 76% (Adj 85%) .Q4 GM 74% (Adj 84%); management targets low-to-mid 80s adj GM including SeQure .Stable adjusted GM in mid-80s despite mix variability.
Instruments vs. PAsQ3 instruments +6% YoY; PAs +54% YoY .Q4 instruments -30% YoY; PAs +93% YoY; expect gradual instrument recovery; conservative outlook .PA strength offsets instrument variability.
Macro/funding environment2024 guidance cautious on capex; cash discipline .Environment stabilized; guidance assumes no change in macro; NIH exposure minimal .Neutral/stabilizing, embedded in 2025 plan.
Strategic expansionQ2/Q3: Record SPL signings; considering AIM delisting to cut costs .Acquired SeQure Dx; integration day-1; at least $2M 2025 revenue; negligible incremental OpEx burden .Broadens TAM and earlier R&D touchpoints; accretive to growth.

Management Commentary

  • CEO on 2024 execution and positioning: “We evaluated and implemented new strategic initiatives… increasing capital and operational efficiency… enabled us to grow core revenue in a difficult environment and position us well for 2025” .
  • On SPL optionality: “Of the 18 active clinical programs… total pre-commercial milestone potential is greater than $220 million, including about $10 million… already received” .
  • On CASGEVY ramp: Vertex disclosed ~50 patients with completed cell collection; management sees global access and Medicaid models as positive for adoption and future therapies .
  • CFO on margins and costs: “We’re going to continue to enjoy high margins in the low to mid-80s… even with SeQure… Total operating expenses… $19.3M vs $22.2M… Ended 2024 with $190.3M and no debt” .
  • 2025 outlook tone: “Core revenue growth of 8% to 15%… SPL program-related revenue… ~$5M… expect to end 2025 with approximately $160 million in cash” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Core growth composition and instruments: Management embeds conservative assumptions; instruments declined in 2024 but see opportunities to build back; PA pull-through modeled on rolling run-rate across installed base .
  • SeQure Dx revenue and integration: At least ~$2M revenue in 2025; fee-for-service model today with potential subscription elements; sales/marketing integrated day-1; incremental OpEx “immaterial” with scalability upside .
  • Margins with SeQure: Expect adjusted gross margins to remain low-to-mid 80s near term .
  • Macro cadence and lumpiness: Guidance assumes “yellow light” macro; licenses stable, PAs modeled on pull-through, instruments most “lumpy”; minimal NIH grant exposure .
  • SPL trajectory: Still signing at pre-IND stage; on track for 3–5 new SPLs per year (already signed TG Therapeutics in early 2025) .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for revenue, EPS, and EBITDA for Q4 2024 and prior quarters; however, the data could not be accessed due to request limits at this time. As a result, we cannot provide a definitive beat/miss analysis vs. Street for Q4 2024, Q3 2024, or Q2 2024 in this recap.
  • Given the company’s mix shift and lumpy SPL milestones, we note analysts have increasingly focused on core revenue and PA trends; nonetheless, please refer to your internal S&P Global access for exact consensus figures to finalize beat/miss assessments.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core engine is growing despite SPL lumpiness: Q4 core +20% YoY with strong PA pull-through, while instruments remain a watch item; adjusted GM steady ~mid-80s .
  • SPL portfolio depth is building future optionality: 18 active clinical programs and >$220M in pre-commercial milestone potential; early commercial royalties emerging from CASGEVY (small in 2H24) .
  • 2025 setup is conservative but constructive: Core +8%–15% (incl. SeQure), ~$5M SPL, and ~$160M year-end cash; plan assumes no macro improvement, offering upside if funding conditions ease .
  • Strategic adjacency (SeQure Dx) broadens TAM and earlier engagement in CGT development, with integrated go-to-market and limited added OpEx; near-term revenue contribution at least ~$2M .
  • Watch catalysts: Additional SPL signings (target 3–5 in 2025), instrument order recovery, visibility on SPL milestone timing, and CASGEVY uptake metrics from Vertex.
  • Risk checks: Continued instrument softness or delayed SPL milestones could pressure reported revenue/margins; macro funding setbacks remain an exogenous variable embedded in the low end of guidance .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Balance sheet snapshot: Total cash, cash equivalents and investments $190.3M at 12/31/24; total assets $239.5M; total liabilities $33.2M; equity $206.3M .
  • Q4 P&L details: Revenue $8.693M; COGS $2.281M; Gross profit $6.412M; OpEx $19.313M; Net loss $10.597M; EPS $(0.10) .
  • FY 2024 totals: Revenue $38.627M (Core $32.512M; SPL $6.115M); GAAP GM 82%; adjusted GM 84%; OpEx $82.724M; Net loss $41.055M; EBITDA $(46.882)M; YE cash $190.3M .

Citations: Q4 2024 8-K and press release ; Q4 2024 earnings call transcript -; Q3 2024 press release -; Q2 2024 press release -; Dec 9, 2024 press release -; Jan 13, 2025 preliminary update -; Jan 30, 2025 SeQure Dx acquisition -.